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Turkey’s persecuted pro-Kurdish party has emerged as a kingmaker in the country’s upcoming election, playing a decisive role that may just tip the balance enough to unseat two-decade ruler Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In a key setback to the Turkish president and leader of the Justice and Development Party (AK Party), the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) last month announced that it would not put forward its own presidential candidate, a move analysts say allows its supporters to vote for Erdogan’s main rival.
“We are facing a turning point that will shape the future of Turkey and (its) society,” said the HDP in a statement on March 23. “To fulfill our historical responsibility against the one-man rule, we will not field a presidential candidate in (the) May 14 elections.”
It is a twist of irony for the Turkish strongman, who spent the better half of the past decade cracking down on the party after it began chipping away at his voter base. Its influence may nonetheless determine the course of Turkey’s politics. The HDP’s decision not to field a candidate came just three days after the head of the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Kemal Kilicdaroglu, Erdogan’s main rival, visited the party’s co-chairs.
Kilicdaroglu, who represents the six-party Nation Alliance opposition bloc, is the strongest contender to run against Erdogan in years. Analysts say it is the kingmaker in the elections.
“It was a carefully crafted political discourse,” said Hisyar Ozsoy, deputy co-chair of the HDP and a member of the parliament from the predominantly Kurdish province of Diyarbakir. “We are not going to have our candidate, and we will leave it to the international community to interpret it the way they wish.”
The accusations against the HDP place it in a precarious position during the elections. Knowing it may be banned at any moment, its candidates are running under the Green Left Party in parliament.
They are a kingmaker in these elections because the HDP gets about half of the votes of the Kurdish population in Turkey. And last month, the Free Cause Party (HUDA-PAR), a tiny Kurdish-Islamist party announced support for Erdogan in the elections. The HDP knows that its position is key to the outcome of next month’s vote, but that it’s also in a delicate situation.
“We want to play the game wisely, and we need to be very careful,” said Ozsoy.
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